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Multiple Myeloma 2015 Update - Why Do People Beat the Average Myeloma Life Expectancy Prognosis?  Or How To Improve Your Multiple Myeloma Survival Rate!

7/5/2015

14 Comments

 
I updated this post  in September of 2020 and you can see the update if you CLICK HERE. published on this subject more than a year ago, and it has been very helpful to many in the myeloma patient community. I have provided some updates including a new section on Early Diagnosis and Treatment and hope that it helps to assist you in your myeloma journey.  The SEER(Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) data for multiple myeloma has been published in April of 2015 by the National Cancer Institute, and the average life expectancy remains at 4 years for the fifth year in a row.  However, some people beat the odds and live 10 to 20 years or more.  When I was first diagnosed, the data for a person with dialysis-dependent kidney failure was just 3 months, and the overall average was 3 years. Now I am a 9 year and  5 month survivor, and I have beaten the average life expectancy prognosis at the time, and this was with what was called a negative prognostic indicator (kidney failure).   So I believe you can break into three parts a patient's ability to beat the odds. Part one is early diagnosis and treatment before end organ damage.  Part two is disease dependent, or what was the hand that you were dealt.  Part three is related to the level of care that is available to you.  For more information on survival rates and life expectancy CLICK HERE.

Part 1 - Early Diagnosis and Treatment
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If you are lucky enough to have a general practitioner who picks up high protein in the blood and finds the disease early while it is in the smoldering or in stage one, you have won the Myeloma Lottery.  Life expectancy of stage one disease is 3 times greater than if you have been found in stage three.  New treatment guidelines have been published in November of 2014 with the express purpose of finding and treating the disease before it has progressed and  causes end organ failure.  A National Institute of health article states the intent of this clearly; "The concept of initiating therapy after end organ damage is analogous to initiating treatment after the development of metastatic cancer in solid tumors. Indeed, screening, early detection and intervention have played a large part in the major curative advances that have been achieved in solid tumors whereas metastatic cancer remains incurable in these same malignancies. It is, therefore, not surprising that MM remains incurable, in spite of all the advances in therapeutic interventions. Could it be because we are waiting too long – until metastatic myeloma occurs – to treat our patients? In such a condition, watchful waiting may actually be more harmful to the patient than early intervention."  To read the whole article CLICK HERE! If you are one of the lucky ones who are found in the early stages of active myeloma or smoldering myeloma, you will have the luxury of time to understand the treatment options, find a myeloma specialist (a must), and plan to confront your disease before permanent end organ damage.  Dr. Rajkumar of Mayo Clinic did a wonderful job of explaining  the new criteria for myeloma diagnosis and you can read it if you CLICK HERE.

Unfortunately,  Myeloma UK has reported that 1 in 5 myeloma patients die within the first two months of diagnosis and that it takes nearly a year from the first symptoms to diagnosis for 25% of newly diagnosed patients.  So until a method of screening and general practitioner training is initiated, this will continue to be mostly just luck.  Dr. Morgan of UAMS said it best when he outlined his thoughts on the subject of awareness and delayed diagnosis. He believes the fact that it takes 3 to 6 months and more often 6 months from first symptoms to diagnosis is a bit of a scandal.   To make real inroads in the myeloma we need to get it diagnosed early before we have organ involvement.  We need to make family doctors and family practitioners more aware of the disease.  They should do M spike and light chain tests on patients.  This makes a lot of sense to Dr. Morgan.  It is really tragic when patients develop renal failure when awareness of myeloma by a General Practitioner might have allowed the patient to get a consult or treatment from a myeloma specialist.  A myeloma specialist is critical to a patient's long term care and survival.  It is a disease that does not come on over night but takes years in the making.  Patient organizations can make a difference.   Like with Smoldering, there might be a non toxic and safe treatment for MGUS which would be a chemo prevention program.  He believe the future of Myeloma will be to get earlier diagnosis, safe treatments, chemo prevention strategy, regular screening for para protein, and early intervention.  This is the future but should be what we are striving to achieve.  

I have kidney damage, a good friend of mine has debilitating bone pain, others collapsed vertebrae, one suffers from a myeloma caused stroke, and many have died from delayed diagnosis.   All of which might have been prevented with a simple test of light chains and M spike costing under $150 without insurance, and no cost if covered by insurance and referred by a General Practitioner.  It is what could be!

Part 2 - Disease Dependent

Some people are just plain lucky and are given a form of myeloma that is not that aggressive.  In other words they have myeloma, but it happens to be smoldering myeloma.  This form of the disease can be present in the patient but not show any outward symptoms.  It can remain in this mode for 5, 10, or even 20 years.

The age of the patient is very important, in that you are 2 times more likely to survive if you were diagnosed at 49 years of age or less.  The average age of  the typical myeloma patient is 70.  You can read more on this subject if you CLICK HERE. 

Some people may have an active disease but do not have any of the negative prognostic indicators.  These include, but are not limited to, deletion of chromosome 17p and  translocation of  4;14 or 14;16 or 14;20.  Your myeloma specialist will run the FISH test or other genetic tests to determine if you have any of these negative prognostic indicators.  If you are considered high risk, the life expectancy is just half of the current average, or just 2 years.  You can read more about high risk multiple myeloma if you CLICK HERE. 

The sensitivity of the disease to treatment is also important.  My myeloma seemed to be very sensitive to the combination of Cytoxan, Thalamid and Dexamethasone and put me into remission very quickly.  Some people might have the same experience with Revlimid, Velcade, or Dex, or any combination of these drugs.  If the disease comes back, as it often does, the re-application of the same regimen may continue to work for years.  I know one patient who has taken Thalomid for years as his only treatment and remains in remission.  This is working well for him.

And of course if the average is 4 years, half of the people will invariably beat the average. 

I am sure there are other disease factors, however, what I will discuss now is the part of disease control that you may or may not  have more control over. 

Part 3  -  Quality of Care


There are some elements that you may or may not have much control over, the first of which is the availability of insurance.  If you do not have insurance or have no access to care, the average life expectancy is less than one year.  However, Medicare has a Compassionate Allowance Program where you can be approved in less than two weeks if you go to your local office and can show that you will not live without care.    To see the program CLICK HERE.  The Affordable Care Act may provide an option for the 15% who are not insured, and Medicare, Medicaid, and drug company assistance programs are also available. In addition, there are  other programs which can provide assistance  listed on the bottom of the home page, to view CLICK HERE. Unfortunately without care, like people who need dialysis (which is always covered by Medicare), you will have below average life expectancy. 
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Multiple Myeloma is a rare blood cancer, so many hematologist/oncologists may not see one patient in a year.  As a result not all oncologists or hematologists are the same. However, some are very skilled and experienced with Multiple Myeloma and have treated many myeloma patients. The data shows these myeloma specialists provide an average life expectancy of 10 years or more, while the average remains stagnant at 4 years. For a listing of these exceptional specialists CLICK HERE or for a more extensive list without survival history just CLICK HERE. And obviously, if your myeloma specialist has an average patient life expectancy of 10 years, their patients will beat the average by more than twice the average.  This is what I did when I chose to get my SCT(stem cell transplants) at University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, UAMS, which has a myeloma program called MIRT, Myeloma Institute of Research and Therapy.  At the time they had over 10,000 transplants under their belt, and as a result they were expert at the process, and knew what could go wrong and had a plan in place to get you through any potential complications.   I have found from my work on this site that centers like Mayo, Dr. Hari(Medical College of Wisconsin),  UAMS, or Dr. Berenson's (IMBCR) have very different approaches to treatment, but because they are expert in what they do, they have similar results.   A brain surgeon  is who you would choose over any other surgeon if you had a brain tumor, why would you not do the same for myeloma? Find out how to find a myeloma specialist by CLICKING HERE or CLICKING HERE.

Myeloma specialists have access to drugs that other oncologists do not.  Because they are the thought leaders, they are involved in clinical trials, and can obtain some drugs through other programs that lesser known oncologists do not have access to. Worse yet, oncologists who are not myeloma specialists may not even know that some of these drugs even exist.  For example, some of the well connected specialists have access to unapproved drugs like Daratumumab or Ixazomib through special programs.  Or some specialists can use drugs that are only approved for relapse or secondary therapy options (Krypolis and Pomalyst), and obtain approval to use them for newly diagnosed patients.   They also have access to the best clinical trials like VRD for first line therapy which provides a response in 100 percent of patients.    When you run out of options with the currently approved drugs, they can provide access to those that have done great in clinical trial, but are not currently available to the general public. Because you need a significant infrastructure to conduct clinical trials at your facility and they cost the facility $15,000 per patient, few local oncologists have access to clinical trials.  Sometimes it is who you know! 

Myeloma patients seldom die from myeloma, they die from the complications from myeloma.    The number one complication is pneumonia, and others include infections, kidney failure, anemia, etc.  This, therefore, brings me to the realization that supportive care for the treatment of the many complications of this disease may just be as important as the cancer treatment itself.  Or a great Defense(supportive care) is as important as the Offense(cancer therapy).   MD Anderson and Mayo Clinic emphasize supportive care in their programs, UAMS actually has a Director of Supportive Care in their myeloma program, and Dr. Elias Anaissie, the Director of the Myeloma Program at the University of Cincinnati Cancer Center, has an extensive background in supportive care.  Dr. Anaissie has published a well written example of an exceptional supportive care model. You can read this publication if you CLICK HERE. To read my blog post on supportive care CLICK HERE.

I also think the quality of care that you receive can also be affected by the knowledge of the patient, and this can be obtained by doing your research on finding the best approaches to care by looking at the work of the best myeloma specialists on-line, and by going to great sites as listed in the Resource Section of www.myelomasurvival.com. To find out how to get educated about multiple myeloma  CLICK HERE.  In addition,  joining a support group of the International Myeloma Foundation or the LLS (Leukemia, Lymphoma, and Myeloma Society) will provide more great information to improve your life expectancy.  I have found that the average life expectancy of most of these support groups far out-performs the average. Knowledge is power!  Additional information on the benefits of support group membership can be found at if you CLICK HERE. 

There are 80,000 multiple myeloma patients in the USA, and if we can move the average from 4 years to 10 years of life expectancy with the myeloma specialists, we could save 80,000 times 6, or 480,000 years of LIFE.  Many times more if we include the entire world.  You all can help by getting this message out to the myeloma patient community though Facebook and Twitter.  Everyone knows someone who has myeloma or  may have a friend or family member that can be helped by this information.  With your help we can "SAVE LIFE"!

Good luck and God Bless your Myeloma Journey/ [email protected]

For more information on multiple myeloma CLICK HERE and you can follow me on twitter at: https://twitter.com/grpetersen1


14 Comments
Jack Aiello
7/6/2015 06:59:06 am

I agree Gary that early dx, type of MM, and access to MM experts can all impact a patient's survival. The 4yr SEER data you mention is only thru 2012 and is for all MM pts. The 10yr Little Rock data is for standard risk pts and those who are transplant eligible, therefore also younger & fitter pts as well when compared with SEER.

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Gary Petersen link
7/6/2015 10:02:26 am

The SEER data is always in arrears by two years, but it is the best we have. The most recent TT3 data shows an average life expectancy projected to be between 14 and 15 years and included about 15% of high risk patients. I used 10 years because that is what the average myeloma specialist is reporting. The transplant eligible patients at UAMS are younger at an average age of 59 vs. the SEER average of 69, and this would have a positive impact on the UAMS results, however I have found that a comparison to a standard measure such as SEER provides a great relative number for comparison purposes. Best we have. Regard.Gary

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Jim Omel link
9/16/2015 06:07:52 am

You are right Gary that Family Practice doctors should be reminded about the possibility of MM. It too often isn't included in their differential diagnosis list of back pain, tiredness, and other common conditions. I remembered the lecture on MM in med school, but it was many years before I saw my first pt. with MM. The most glaring error of omission in my entire career happened to me....myself....when I missed my own MM dx for 9 painful months. It can be a difficult initial dx even though it seems SO OBVIOUS once the dx has been made.

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Gary Petersen link
11/3/2015 08:26:29 am

Jim, as a doctor yourself, your story is so relevant to the conversation today to find ways to inform the public and general practitioners on the symptoms of myeloma and risks of delayed diagnosis. But is also speaks to the difficulty involved in getting this done. Thank You for your comment and for being such a great resource to the myeloma patient community, Gary

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Belinda
10/20/2015 02:30:14 am

My father was diagnosed at 48yrs old , it started with back pain . It's been 19 and a half years since diagnosis . He has gone downhill in the last couple of months and has been admitted to hospital today for a 3 week stay. His 19 yr old frozen stem cells are still viable and will be used along with chemo , were very hopeful that this will work again for him as he is hoping to ski down the mountains again with his grandchildren very soon

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Robert Lewy
11/3/2015 12:12:45 am

Great Gary. Let me write you a little article about exceptional responders. Turns out I was one having trisomy and revlimid Rx which synergize. 7-10 yr OS, much less worry if you get your cytogenetic upfront and choose right drug, and vice versa

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Gary Petersen link
11/3/2015 08:20:09 am

Robert, please do tell your story of how cytogentics was used to provide you with a personalized approach to treatment. Thank You Gary

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Jeanne Kopcinski link
10/30/2016 08:36:32 am

I have been diagnosed on June 26th 2016 I had radiation and now I'm on my 3rd cycle of Chemo what is the longest chemo sessions have you ever given someone?

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[email protected]
2/9/2017 06:37:41 am

Need some help trying to figure what to do after my Chemo was stopped immediately and hat that meant

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Gary Petersen link
2/9/2017 10:55:14 am

Jeanne, I am not a doctor, just a knowable multiple myeloma patient and advocate. These questions you should ask your doctor. If he does not provide you with answers which satisfy you, then maybe you need a new doctor. Another approach would be to find a myeloma expert and get a second opinion. Chemo can be a shot or a infusion. It can can take a few minutes to 8 hours with Daratumumab, and I had taken PACE at UAMS which was most of 24 hours as I recall. As far as why your doctor stopped chemo, only he knows and should be able to tell you. Ask him he owes you an answer. Best Regards/Gary

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Frank Driscoll
3/7/2017 09:38:05 am

Gary, It was great meeting you and your wife last weekend at "Pat's MM Survival School" in Florida. My kids, Will and Hayley, and I were impressed with your knowledge and ability to engage the MM scientists and discuss developments in terms useful to patients. I've followed you for some time now as a source offering unvarnished truth and empirical, pragmatic guidance and advice.

So, thank you Gary, be well and I look forward to staying in touch. You are a selfless man.

Frank

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Gary Petersen link
3/7/2017 11:12:25 am

Frank, thank you, I enjoyed meeting you as well. I feel blessed to be able to have a positive impact on fellow myeloma patients. It touches my heart.

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Luis Martins link
8/30/2017 10:19:15 pm

I believe that the life expectation in US is much more than 4 years! Last time I read about it, it was around 7 years! I agree that if you have an specialist, the average will increase so much! I live in Brazil and I deal the disease with the best Myeloma specialist in Latin America: Dr. Vania Hungria. I have been through two transplants and several rescidents of the disease! I had several fractures and collapsed into two vertebrae! I have been living with the disease for 13 years and I am doing very well! Good luck to everyone..

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Gary Petersen link
9/2/2017 09:50:57 am

Luis, congratulations on beating the odds. At 13 years you have truly outrun the grim reaper. I just updated the data for the most recent NCI data which shows an improvement in the last two years from 4 years to 5.5 years. I wish the average was 7, however as data from the UK shows 1 in 5 myeloma patients die in the first two months after diagnosis, so that screws up the average. Good luck and may God continue to bless your myeloma journey!/Gary

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    Gary R. Petersen
    [email protected]
    CLICK HERE for my myeloma journey

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